mirror of
https://github.com/K-Dense-AI/claude-scientific-skills.git
synced 2026-03-27 07:09:27 +08:00
fix(animation): use fixed axes showing full observed data in background
- X-axis fixed to 2022-01 to 2025-12 (full data range) - Y-axis fixed to 0.72°C to 1.52°C (full value range) - Background shows all observed data (faded gray) + final forecast reference (faded red dashed) - Foreground shows current step data (bright blue) + current forecast (bright red) - GIF size reduced from 918KB to 659KB
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Before Width: | Height: | Size: 896 KiB After Width: | Height: | Size: 644 KiB |
@@ -3,9 +3,8 @@
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Generate animated GIF showing forecast evolution.
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Generate animated GIF showing forecast evolution.
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Creates a GIF animation showing how the TimesFM forecast changes
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Creates a GIF animation showing how the TimesFM forecast changes
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as more historical data points are added.
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as more historical data points are added. Shows the full actual data as a background layer.
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"""
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"""
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from __future__ import annotations
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from __future__ import annotations
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import json
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import json
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@@ -24,107 +23,134 @@ OUTPUT_FILE = EXAMPLE_DIR / "forecast_animation.gif"
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DURATION_MS = 500 # Time per frame in milliseconds
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DURATION_MS = 500 # Time per frame in milliseconds
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def create_frame(ax, step_data: dict, actual_data: dict, total_steps: int) -> None:
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def create_frame(
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"""Create a single frame of the animation."""
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ax,
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step_data: dict,
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actual_data: dict,
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final_forecast: dict,
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total_steps: int,
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x_min,
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x_max,
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y_min,
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y_max,
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) -> None:
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"""Create a single frame of the animation with fixed axes."""
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ax.clear()
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ax.clear()
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# Parse dates
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# Parse dates
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historical_dates = pd.to_datetime(step_data["historical_dates"])
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historical_dates = pd.to_datetime(step_data["historical_dates"])
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forecast_dates = pd.to_datetime(step_data["forecast_dates"])
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forecast_dates = pd.to_datetime(step_data["forecast_dates"])
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# Plot historical data
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# Get final forecast dates for full extent
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final_forecast_dates = pd.to_datetime(final_forecast["forecast_dates"])
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# All actual dates for full background
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all_actual_dates = pd.to_datetime(actual_data["dates"])
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all_actual_values = np.array(actual_data["values"])
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# ========== BACKGROUND LAYER: Full actual data (faded) ==========
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ax.plot(
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all_actual_dates,
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all_actual_values,
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color="#9ca3af",
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linewidth=1,
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marker="o",
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markersize=2,
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alpha=0.3,
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label="All observed data",
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zorder=1,
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)
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# ========== BACKGROUND LAYER: Final forecast (faded) ==========
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ax.plot(
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final_forecast_dates,
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final_forecast["point_forecast"],
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color="#fca5a5",
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linewidth=1,
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linestyle="--",
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marker="s",
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markersize=2,
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alpha=0.3,
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label="Final forecast",
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zorder=2,
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)
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# ========== FOREGROUND LAYER: Historical data used (bright) ==========
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ax.plot(
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ax.plot(
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historical_dates,
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historical_dates,
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step_data["historical_values"],
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step_data["historical_values"],
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color="#3b82f6",
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color="#3b82f6",
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linewidth=2,
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linewidth=2.5,
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marker="o",
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marker="o",
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markersize=4,
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markersize=5,
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label="Historical",
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label="Data used",
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zorder=10,
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)
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)
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# Plot 90% CI (outer)
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# ========== FOREGROUND LAYER: Current forecast (bright) ==========
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# 90% CI (outer)
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ax.fill_between(
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ax.fill_between(
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forecast_dates,
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forecast_dates,
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step_data["q10"],
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step_data["q10"],
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step_data["q90"],
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step_data["q90"],
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alpha=0.1,
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alpha=0.15,
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color="#ef4444",
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color="#ef4444",
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label="90% CI",
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zorder=5,
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)
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)
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# Plot 80% CI (inner)
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# 80% CI (inner)
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ax.fill_between(
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ax.fill_between(
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forecast_dates,
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forecast_dates,
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step_data["q20"],
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step_data["q20"],
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step_data["q80"],
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step_data["q80"],
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alpha=0.2,
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alpha=0.25,
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color="#ef4444",
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color="#ef4444",
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label="80% CI",
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zorder=6,
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)
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)
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# Plot forecast
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# Forecast line
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ax.plot(
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ax.plot(
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forecast_dates,
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forecast_dates,
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step_data["point_forecast"],
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step_data["point_forecast"],
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color="#ef4444",
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color="#ef4444",
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linewidth=2,
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linewidth=2.5,
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marker="s",
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marker="s",
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markersize=4,
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markersize=5,
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label="Forecast",
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label="Forecast",
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zorder=7,
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)
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)
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# Plot actual future data if available
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# ========== Vertical line at forecast boundary ==========
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actual_dates = pd.to_datetime(actual_data["dates"])
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actual_values = actual_data["values"]
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# Find which actual points fall in forecast period
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forecast_start = forecast_dates[0]
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forecast_end = forecast_dates[-1]
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future_mask = (actual_dates >= forecast_start) & (actual_dates <= forecast_end)
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future_dates = actual_dates[future_mask]
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future_values = np.array(actual_values)[future_mask]
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if len(future_dates) > 0:
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ax.plot(
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future_dates,
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future_values,
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color="#10b981",
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linewidth=1,
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linestyle="--",
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marker="o",
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markersize=3,
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alpha=0.7,
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label="Actual (future)",
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)
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# Add vertical line at forecast boundary
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ax.axvline(
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ax.axvline(
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x=historical_dates[-1],
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x=historical_dates[-1],
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color="#6b7280",
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color="#6b7280",
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linestyle="--",
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linestyle="--",
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linewidth=1,
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linewidth=1.5,
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alpha=0.5,
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alpha=0.7,
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zorder=8,
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)
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)
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# Formatting
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# ========== Formatting ==========
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ax.set_xlabel("Date", fontsize=11)
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ax.set_xlabel("Date", fontsize=11)
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ax.set_ylabel("Temperature Anomaly (°C)", fontsize=11)
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ax.set_ylabel("Temperature Anomaly (°C)", fontsize=11)
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ax.set_title(
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ax.set_title(
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f"TimesFM Forecast Evolution\n"
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f"TimesFM Forecast Evolution\n"
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f"Step {step_data['step']}/{total_steps}: {step_data['n_points']} points → {step_data['last_historical_date']}",
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f"Step {step_data['step']}/{total_steps}: {step_data['n_points']} points → "
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f"forecast from {step_data['last_historical_date']}",
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fontsize=13,
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fontsize=13,
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fontweight="bold",
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fontweight="bold",
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)
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)
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ax.grid(True, alpha=0.3)
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ax.grid(True, alpha=0.3, zorder=0)
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ax.legend(loc="upper left", fontsize=9)
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ax.legend(loc="upper left", fontsize=8)
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ax.set_ylim(0.5, 1.6)
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# FIXED AXES - same for all frames
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ax.set_xlim(x_min, x_max)
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ax.set_ylim(y_min, y_max)
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# Format x-axis
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# Format x-axis
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ax.xaxis.set_major_formatter(mdates.DateFormatter("%Y-%m"))
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ax.xaxis.set_major_formatter(mdates.DateFormatter("%Y-%m"))
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ax.xaxis.set_major_locator(mdates.MonthLocator(interval=6))
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ax.xaxis.set_major_locator(mdates.MonthLocator(interval=4))
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plt.setp(ax.xaxis.get_majorticklabels(), rotation=45, ha="right")
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plt.setp(ax.xaxis.get_majorticklabels(), rotation=45, ha="right")
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@@ -140,6 +166,36 @@ def main() -> None:
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total_steps = len(data["animation_steps"])
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total_steps = len(data["animation_steps"])
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print(f"\n📊 Total frames: {total_steps}")
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print(f"\n📊 Total frames: {total_steps}")
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# Get the final forecast step for reference
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final_forecast = data["animation_steps"][-1]
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# Calculate fixed axis extents from ALL data
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all_actual_dates = pd.to_datetime(data["actual_data"]["dates"])
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all_actual_values = np.array(data["actual_data"]["values"])
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final_forecast_dates = pd.to_datetime(final_forecast["forecast_dates"])
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final_forecast_values = np.array(final_forecast["point_forecast"])
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# X-axis: from first actual date to last forecast date
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x_min = all_actual_dates[0]
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x_max = final_forecast_dates[-1]
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# Y-axis: min/max across all actual + all forecasts with CIs
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all_forecast_q10 = np.array(final_forecast["q10"])
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all_forecast_q90 = np.array(final_forecast["q90"])
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all_values = np.concatenate([
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all_actual_values,
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final_forecast_values,
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all_forecast_q10,
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all_forecast_q90,
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])
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y_min = all_values.min() - 0.05
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y_max = all_values.max() + 0.05
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print(f" X-axis: {x_min.strftime('%Y-%m')} to {x_max.strftime('%Y-%m')}")
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print(f" Y-axis: {y_min:.2f}°C to {y_max:.2f}°C")
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# Create figure
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# Create figure
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fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(12, 6))
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fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(12, 6))
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@@ -149,7 +205,17 @@ def main() -> None:
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for i, step in enumerate(data["animation_steps"]):
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for i, step in enumerate(data["animation_steps"]):
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print(f" Frame {i + 1}/{total_steps}...")
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print(f" Frame {i + 1}/{total_steps}...")
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create_frame(ax, step, data["actual_data"], total_steps)
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create_frame(
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ax,
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step,
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data["actual_data"],
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final_forecast,
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total_steps,
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x_min,
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x_max,
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y_min,
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y_max,
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)
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# Save frame to buffer
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# Save frame to buffer
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fig.canvas.draw()
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fig.canvas.draw()
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@@ -5,31 +5,20 @@
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<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0">
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<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0">
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<title>TimesFM Interactive Forecast Animation</title>
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<title>TimesFM Interactive Forecast Animation</title>
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<script src="https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/npm/chart.js"></script>
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<script src="https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/npm/chart.js"></script>
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<script src="https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/npm/chartjs-plugin-annotation"></script>
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<style>
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<style>
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* {
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* { margin: 0; padding: 0; box-sizing: border-box; }
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margin: 0;
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padding: 0;
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box-sizing: border-box;
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}
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body {
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body {
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font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen, Ubuntu, sans-serif;
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font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, sans-serif;
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background: linear-gradient(135deg, #1a1a2e 0%, #16213e 100%);
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background: linear-gradient(135deg, #1a1a2e 0%, #16213e 100%);
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min-height: 100vh;
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min-height: 100vh;
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color: #e0e0e0;
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color: #e0e0e0;
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padding: 20px;
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padding: 20px;
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}
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}
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.container {
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.container { max-width: 1200px; margin: 0 auto; }
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max-width: 1200px;
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margin: 0 auto;
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}
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header {
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header { text-align: center; margin-bottom: 30px; }
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text-align: center;
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margin-bottom: 30px;
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}
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h1 {
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h1 {
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font-size: 2rem;
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font-size: 2rem;
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@@ -37,13 +26,9 @@
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background: linear-gradient(90deg, #60a5fa, #a78bfa);
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background: linear-gradient(90deg, #60a5fa, #a78bfa);
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-webkit-background-clip: text;
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-webkit-background-clip: text;
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-webkit-text-fill-color: transparent;
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-webkit-text-fill-color: transparent;
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background-clip: text;
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}
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}
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.subtitle {
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.subtitle { color: #9ca3af; font-size: 1.1rem; }
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color: #9ca3af;
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font-size: 1.1rem;
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}
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.chart-container {
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.chart-container {
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background: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.05);
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background: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.05);
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@@ -53,10 +38,7 @@
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box-shadow: 0 4px 20px rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.3);
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box-shadow: 0 4px 20px rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.3);
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}
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}
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#chart {
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#chart { width: 100% !important; height: 450px !important; }
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width: 100% !important;
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height: 400px !important;
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}
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.controls {
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.controls {
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display: flex;
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display: flex;
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@@ -67,94 +49,43 @@
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padding: 20px;
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padding: 20px;
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}
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}
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|
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.slider-container {
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.slider-container { display: flex; flex-direction: column; gap: 10px; }
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display: flex;
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flex-direction: column;
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gap: 10px;
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}
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.slider-label {
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.slider-label { display: flex; justify-content: space-between; align-items: center; }
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display: flex;
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.slider-label span { font-size: 0.9rem; color: #9ca3af; }
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justify-content: space-between;
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.slider-label .value { font-weight: 600; color: #60a5fa; font-size: 1.1rem; }
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align-items: center;
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}
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|
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.slider-label span {
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font-size: 0.9rem;
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color: #9ca3af;
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}
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.slider-label .value {
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font-weight: 600;
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color: #60a5fa;
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font-size: 1.1rem;
|
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}
|
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|
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input[type="range"] {
|
input[type="range"] {
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width: 100%;
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width: 100%; height: 8px; border-radius: 4px;
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height: 8px;
|
background: #374151; outline: none; -webkit-appearance: none;
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border-radius: 4px;
|
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background: #374151;
|
|
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outline: none;
|
|
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-webkit-appearance: none;
|
|
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}
|
}
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|
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input[type="range"]::-webkit-slider-thumb {
|
input[type="range"]::-webkit-slider-thumb {
|
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-webkit-appearance: none;
|
-webkit-appearance: none;
|
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width: 24px;
|
width: 24px; height: 24px; border-radius: 50%;
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height: 24px;
|
|
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border-radius: 50%;
|
|
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background: linear-gradient(135deg, #60a5fa, #a78bfa);
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background: linear-gradient(135deg, #60a5fa, #a78bfa);
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cursor: pointer;
|
cursor: pointer;
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box-shadow: 0 2px 10px rgba(96, 165, 250, 0.5);
|
box-shadow: 0 2px 10px rgba(96, 165, 250, 0.5);
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
input[type="range"]::-moz-range-thumb {
|
.buttons { display: flex; gap: 10px; flex-wrap: wrap; }
|
||||||
width: 24px;
|
|
||||||
height: 24px;
|
|
||||||
border-radius: 50%;
|
|
||||||
background: linear-gradient(135deg, #60a5fa, #a78bfa);
|
|
||||||
cursor: pointer;
|
|
||||||
border: none;
|
|
||||||
box-shadow: 0 2px 10px rgba(96, 165, 250, 0.5);
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
.buttons {
|
|
||||||
display: flex;
|
|
||||||
gap: 10px;
|
|
||||||
flex-wrap: wrap;
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
button {
|
button {
|
||||||
flex: 1;
|
flex: 1; min-width: 100px;
|
||||||
min-width: 100px;
|
|
||||||
padding: 12px 20px;
|
padding: 12px 20px;
|
||||||
border: none;
|
border: none; border-radius: 8px;
|
||||||
border-radius: 8px;
|
font-size: 1rem; font-weight: 600;
|
||||||
font-size: 1rem;
|
cursor: pointer; transition: all 0.2s ease;
|
||||||
font-weight: 600;
|
|
||||||
cursor: pointer;
|
|
||||||
transition: all 0.2s ease;
|
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
.btn-primary {
|
.btn-primary {
|
||||||
background: linear-gradient(135deg, #60a5fa, #a78bfa);
|
background: linear-gradient(135deg, #60a5fa, #a78bfa);
|
||||||
color: white;
|
color: white;
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
.btn-primary:hover { transform: translateY(-2px); box-shadow: 0 4px 15px rgba(96, 165, 250, 0.4); }
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
.btn-primary:hover {
|
.btn-secondary { background: #374151; color: #e0e0e0; }
|
||||||
transform: translateY(-2px);
|
.btn-secondary:hover { background: #4b5563; }
|
||||||
box-shadow: 0 4px 15px rgba(96, 165, 250, 0.4);
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
.btn-secondary {
|
|
||||||
background: #374151;
|
|
||||||
color: #e0e0e0;
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
.btn-secondary:hover {
|
|
||||||
background: #4b5563;
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
.stats {
|
.stats {
|
||||||
display: grid;
|
display: grid;
|
||||||
@@ -169,18 +100,8 @@
|
|||||||
padding: 15px;
|
padding: 15px;
|
||||||
text-align: center;
|
text-align: center;
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
.stat-card .label { font-size: 0.8rem; color: #9ca3af; margin-bottom: 5px; }
|
||||||
.stat-card .label {
|
.stat-card .value { font-size: 1.3rem; font-weight: 600; color: #60a5fa; }
|
||||||
font-size: 0.8rem;
|
|
||||||
color: #9ca3af;
|
|
||||||
margin-bottom: 5px;
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
.stat-card .value {
|
|
||||||
font-size: 1.3rem;
|
|
||||||
font-weight: 600;
|
|
||||||
color: #60a5fa;
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
.legend {
|
.legend {
|
||||||
display: flex;
|
display: flex;
|
||||||
@@ -192,18 +113,8 @@
|
|||||||
border-top: 1px solid rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.1);
|
border-top: 1px solid rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.1);
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
.legend-item {
|
.legend-item { display: flex; align-items: center; gap: 8px; font-size: 0.85rem; }
|
||||||
display: flex;
|
.legend-color { width: 16px; height: 16px; border-radius: 4px; }
|
||||||
align-items: center;
|
|
||||||
gap: 8px;
|
|
||||||
font-size: 0.9rem;
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
.legend-color {
|
|
||||||
width: 16px;
|
|
||||||
height: 16px;
|
|
||||||
border-radius: 4px;
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
footer {
|
footer {
|
||||||
text-align: center;
|
text-align: center;
|
||||||
@@ -211,32 +122,14 @@
|
|||||||
color: #6b7280;
|
color: #6b7280;
|
||||||
font-size: 0.9rem;
|
font-size: 0.9rem;
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
footer a { color: #60a5fa; text-decoration: none; }
|
||||||
footer a {
|
|
||||||
color: #60a5fa;
|
|
||||||
text-decoration: none;
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@media (max-width: 768px) {
|
|
||||||
h1 {
|
|
||||||
font-size: 1.5rem;
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
.buttons {
|
|
||||||
flex-direction: column;
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
button {
|
|
||||||
width: 100%;
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
</style>
|
</style>
|
||||||
</head>
|
</head>
|
||||||
<body>
|
<body>
|
||||||
<div class="container">
|
<div class="container">
|
||||||
<header>
|
<header>
|
||||||
<h1>TimesFM Zero-Shot Forecast Animation</h1>
|
<h1>TimesFM Forecast Evolution</h1>
|
||||||
<p class="subtitle">Watch the forecast evolve as more data is added</p>
|
<p class="subtitle">Watch the forecast evolve as more data is added — with full context always visible</p>
|
||||||
</header>
|
</header>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
<div class="chart-container">
|
<div class="chart-container">
|
||||||
@@ -246,13 +139,13 @@
|
|||||||
<div class="controls">
|
<div class="controls">
|
||||||
<div class="slider-container">
|
<div class="slider-container">
|
||||||
<div class="slider-label">
|
<div class="slider-label">
|
||||||
<span>Historical Data Points</span>
|
<span>Data Points Used</span>
|
||||||
<span class="value" id="points-value">12 / 36</span>
|
<span class="value" id="points-value">12 / 36</span>
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
<input type="range" id="slider" min="0" max="24" value="0" step="1">
|
<input type="range" id="slider" min="0" max="24" value="0" step="1">
|
||||||
<div class="slider-label">
|
<div class="slider-label">
|
||||||
<span id="date-start">2022-01</span>
|
<span>2022-01</span>
|
||||||
<span id="date-end">2022-12 → Forecast to 2023-12</span>
|
<span id="date-end">Using data through 2022-12</span>
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@@ -266,6 +159,10 @@
|
|||||||
<div class="label">Forecast Mean</div>
|
<div class="label">Forecast Mean</div>
|
||||||
<div class="value" id="stat-mean">0.86°C</div>
|
<div class="value" id="stat-mean">0.86°C</div>
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
<div class="stat-card">
|
||||||
|
<div class="label">vs Final Forecast</div>
|
||||||
|
<div class="value" id="stat-diff">--</div>
|
||||||
|
</div>
|
||||||
<div class="stat-card">
|
<div class="stat-card">
|
||||||
<div class="label">Forecast Max</div>
|
<div class="label">Forecast Max</div>
|
||||||
<div class="value" id="stat-max">--</div>
|
<div class="value" id="stat-max">--</div>
|
||||||
@@ -274,47 +171,49 @@
|
|||||||
<div class="label">Forecast Min</div>
|
<div class="label">Forecast Min</div>
|
||||||
<div class="value" id="stat-min">--</div>
|
<div class="value" id="stat-min">--</div>
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
<div class="stat-card">
|
|
||||||
<div class="label">80% CI Width</div>
|
|
||||||
<div class="value" id="stat-ci">--</div>
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
<div class="legend">
|
<div class="legend">
|
||||||
|
<div class="legend-item">
|
||||||
|
<div class="legend-color" style="background: #9ca3af;"></div>
|
||||||
|
<span>All Observed Data</span>
|
||||||
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
<div class="legend-item">
|
||||||
|
<div class="legend-color" style="background: #fca5a5;"></div>
|
||||||
|
<span>Final Forecast (reference)</span>
|
||||||
|
</div>
|
||||||
<div class="legend-item">
|
<div class="legend-item">
|
||||||
<div class="legend-color" style="background: #3b82f6;"></div>
|
<div class="legend-color" style="background: #3b82f6;"></div>
|
||||||
<span>Historical Data</span>
|
<span>Data Used</span>
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
<div class="legend-item">
|
<div class="legend-item">
|
||||||
<div class="legend-color" style="background: #ef4444;"></div>
|
<div class="legend-color" style="background: #ef4444;"></div>
|
||||||
<span>Forecast</span>
|
<span>Current Forecast</span>
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
<div class="legend-item">
|
<div class="legend-item">
|
||||||
<div class="legend-color" style="background: rgba(239, 68, 68, 0.2);"></div>
|
<div class="legend-color" style="background: rgba(239, 68, 68, 0.25);"></div>
|
||||||
<span>80% Confidence Interval</span>
|
<span>80% CI</span>
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
<div class="legend-item">
|
|
||||||
<div class="legend-color" style="background: rgba(239, 68, 68, 0.1);"></div>
|
|
||||||
<span>90% Confidence Interval</span>
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
<footer>
|
<footer>
|
||||||
<p>TimesFM 1.0 (200M) PyTorch • <a href="https://github.com/google-research/timesfm">Google Research</a></p>
|
<p>TimesFM 1.0 (200M) PyTorch • <a href="https://github.com/google-research/timesfm">Google Research</a></p>
|
||||||
<p style="margin-top: 5px;">Generated by <a href="https://github.com/K-Dense-AI/claude-scientific-skills">claude-scientific-skills</a></p>
|
|
||||||
</footer>
|
</footer>
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
<script>
|
<script>
|
||||||
// Load animation data
|
|
||||||
let animationData = null;
|
let animationData = null;
|
||||||
let chart = null;
|
let chart = null;
|
||||||
let isPlaying = false;
|
let isPlaying = false;
|
||||||
let playInterval = null;
|
let playInterval = null;
|
||||||
let currentStep = 0;
|
let currentStep = 0;
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// Fetch the JSON data
|
// Fixed axis extents (set from data)
|
||||||
|
let allDates = [];
|
||||||
|
let yMin = 0.7;
|
||||||
|
let yMax = 1.55;
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
fetch('animation_data.json')
|
fetch('animation_data.json')
|
||||||
.then(response => response.json())
|
.then(response => response.json())
|
||||||
.then(data => {
|
.then(data => {
|
||||||
@@ -331,32 +230,62 @@
|
|||||||
function initChart() {
|
function initChart() {
|
||||||
const ctx = document.getElementById('chart').getContext('2d');
|
const ctx = document.getElementById('chart').getContext('2d');
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
// Calculate fixed extents
|
||||||
|
const finalStep = animationData.animation_steps[animationData.animation_steps.length - 1];
|
||||||
|
allDates = [
|
||||||
|
...animationData.actual_data.dates,
|
||||||
|
...finalStep.forecast_dates
|
||||||
|
];
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
// Y extent from all values
|
||||||
|
const allValues = [
|
||||||
|
...animationData.actual_data.values,
|
||||||
|
...finalStep.point_forecast,
|
||||||
|
...finalStep.q10,
|
||||||
|
...finalStep.q90
|
||||||
|
];
|
||||||
|
yMin = Math.min(...allValues) - 0.05;
|
||||||
|
yMax = Math.max(...allValues) + 0.05;
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
chart = new Chart(ctx, {
|
chart = new Chart(ctx, {
|
||||||
type: 'line',
|
type: 'line',
|
||||||
data: {
|
data: {
|
||||||
labels: [],
|
labels: allDates,
|
||||||
datasets: [
|
datasets: [
|
||||||
{
|
{
|
||||||
label: 'Historical',
|
label: 'All Observed',
|
||||||
|
data: animationData.actual_data.values.map((v, i) => ({x: animationData.actual_data.dates[i], y: v})),
|
||||||
|
borderColor: '#9ca3af',
|
||||||
|
borderWidth: 1,
|
||||||
|
pointRadius: 2,
|
||||||
|
pointBackgroundColor: '#9ca3af',
|
||||||
|
fill: false,
|
||||||
|
tension: 0.1,
|
||||||
|
order: 1,
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
{
|
||||||
|
label: 'Final Forecast',
|
||||||
|
data: [...Array(animationData.actual_data.dates.length).fill(null), ...finalStep.point_forecast],
|
||||||
|
borderColor: '#fca5a5',
|
||||||
|
borderWidth: 1,
|
||||||
|
borderDash: [4, 4],
|
||||||
|
pointRadius: 2,
|
||||||
|
pointBackgroundColor: '#fca5a5',
|
||||||
|
fill: false,
|
||||||
|
tension: 0.1,
|
||||||
|
order: 2,
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
{
|
||||||
|
label: 'Data Used',
|
||||||
data: [],
|
data: [],
|
||||||
borderColor: '#3b82f6',
|
borderColor: '#3b82f6',
|
||||||
backgroundColor: 'rgba(59, 130, 246, 0.1)',
|
backgroundColor: 'rgba(59, 130, 246, 0.1)',
|
||||||
borderWidth: 2,
|
borderWidth: 2.5,
|
||||||
pointRadius: 3,
|
pointRadius: 4,
|
||||||
pointBackgroundColor: '#3b82f6',
|
pointBackgroundColor: '#3b82f6',
|
||||||
fill: false,
|
fill: false,
|
||||||
tension: 0.1,
|
tension: 0.1,
|
||||||
},
|
order: 10,
|
||||||
{
|
|
||||||
label: 'Forecast',
|
|
||||||
data: [],
|
|
||||||
borderColor: '#ef4444',
|
|
||||||
backgroundColor: 'rgba(239, 68, 68, 0.1)',
|
|
||||||
borderWidth: 2,
|
|
||||||
pointRadius: 3,
|
|
||||||
pointBackgroundColor: '#ef4444',
|
|
||||||
fill: false,
|
|
||||||
tension: 0.1,
|
|
||||||
},
|
},
|
||||||
{
|
{
|
||||||
label: '90% CI Lower',
|
label: '90% CI Lower',
|
||||||
@@ -366,6 +295,7 @@
|
|||||||
fill: '+1',
|
fill: '+1',
|
||||||
pointRadius: 0,
|
pointRadius: 0,
|
||||||
tension: 0.1,
|
tension: 0.1,
|
||||||
|
order: 5,
|
||||||
},
|
},
|
||||||
{
|
{
|
||||||
label: '90% CI Upper',
|
label: '90% CI Upper',
|
||||||
@@ -375,86 +305,71 @@
|
|||||||
fill: false,
|
fill: false,
|
||||||
pointRadius: 0,
|
pointRadius: 0,
|
||||||
tension: 0.1,
|
tension: 0.1,
|
||||||
|
order: 5,
|
||||||
},
|
},
|
||||||
{
|
{
|
||||||
label: '80% CI Lower',
|
label: '80% CI Lower',
|
||||||
data: [],
|
data: [],
|
||||||
borderColor: 'transparent',
|
borderColor: 'transparent',
|
||||||
backgroundColor: 'rgba(239, 68, 68, 0.15)',
|
backgroundColor: 'rgba(239, 68, 68, 0.2)',
|
||||||
fill: '+1',
|
fill: '+1',
|
||||||
pointRadius: 0,
|
pointRadius: 0,
|
||||||
tension: 0.1,
|
tension: 0.1,
|
||||||
|
order: 6,
|
||||||
},
|
},
|
||||||
{
|
{
|
||||||
label: '80% CI Upper',
|
label: '80% CI Upper',
|
||||||
data: [],
|
data: [],
|
||||||
borderColor: 'transparent',
|
borderColor: 'transparent',
|
||||||
backgroundColor: 'rgba(239, 68, 68, 0.15)',
|
backgroundColor: 'rgba(239, 68, 68, 0.2)',
|
||||||
fill: false,
|
fill: false,
|
||||||
pointRadius: 0,
|
pointRadius: 0,
|
||||||
tension: 0.1,
|
tension: 0.1,
|
||||||
|
order: 6,
|
||||||
},
|
},
|
||||||
{
|
{
|
||||||
label: 'Actual (Future)',
|
label: 'Forecast',
|
||||||
data: [],
|
data: [],
|
||||||
borderColor: '#10b981',
|
borderColor: '#ef4444',
|
||||||
backgroundColor: 'transparent',
|
backgroundColor: 'rgba(239, 68, 68, 0.1)',
|
||||||
borderWidth: 1,
|
borderWidth: 2.5,
|
||||||
borderDash: [5, 5],
|
pointRadius: 4,
|
||||||
pointRadius: 2,
|
pointBackgroundColor: '#ef4444',
|
||||||
pointBackgroundColor: '#10b981',
|
|
||||||
fill: false,
|
fill: false,
|
||||||
tension: 0.1,
|
tension: 0.1,
|
||||||
|
order: 7,
|
||||||
},
|
},
|
||||||
]
|
]
|
||||||
},
|
},
|
||||||
options: {
|
options: {
|
||||||
responsive: true,
|
responsive: true,
|
||||||
maintainAspectRatio: false,
|
maintainAspectRatio: false,
|
||||||
interaction: {
|
interaction: { intersect: false, mode: 'index' },
|
||||||
intersect: false,
|
|
||||||
mode: 'index',
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
plugins: {
|
plugins: {
|
||||||
legend: {
|
legend: { display: false },
|
||||||
display: false,
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
tooltip: {
|
tooltip: {
|
||||||
backgroundColor: 'rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.8)',
|
backgroundColor: 'rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.8)',
|
||||||
titleColor: '#fff',
|
titleColor: '#fff',
|
||||||
bodyColor: '#fff',
|
bodyColor: '#fff',
|
||||||
padding: 12,
|
padding: 12,
|
||||||
displayColors: true,
|
|
||||||
},
|
},
|
||||||
},
|
},
|
||||||
scales: {
|
scales: {
|
||||||
x: {
|
x: {
|
||||||
grid: {
|
grid: { color: 'rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.05)' },
|
||||||
color: 'rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.05)',
|
ticks: { color: '#9ca3af', maxRotation: 45, minRotation: 45 },
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
ticks: {
|
|
||||||
color: '#9ca3af',
|
|
||||||
maxRotation: 45,
|
|
||||||
minRotation: 45,
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
},
|
},
|
||||||
y: {
|
y: {
|
||||||
grid: {
|
grid: { color: 'rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.05)' },
|
||||||
color: 'rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.05)',
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
ticks: {
|
ticks: {
|
||||||
color: '#9ca3af',
|
color: '#9ca3af',
|
||||||
callback: function(value) {
|
callback: v => v.toFixed(2) + '°C'
|
||||||
return value.toFixed(2) + '°C';
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
},
|
},
|
||||||
min: 0.5,
|
min: yMin,
|
||||||
max: 1.6,
|
max: yMax,
|
||||||
},
|
},
|
||||||
},
|
},
|
||||||
animation: {
|
animation: { duration: 150 },
|
||||||
duration: 200,
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
},
|
},
|
||||||
});
|
});
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
@@ -463,73 +378,102 @@
|
|||||||
if (!animationData || !chart) return;
|
if (!animationData || !chart) return;
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const step = animationData.animation_steps[stepIndex];
|
const step = animationData.animation_steps[stepIndex];
|
||||||
|
const finalStep = animationData.animation_steps[animationData.animation_steps.length - 1];
|
||||||
const actual = animationData.actual_data;
|
const actual = animationData.actual_data;
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// Build all dates
|
// Build data arrays for each dataset
|
||||||
const allDates = [...step.historical_dates, ...step.forecast_dates];
|
const nHist = step.historical_dates.length;
|
||||||
|
const nForecast = step.forecast_dates.length;
|
||||||
|
const nActual = actual.dates.length;
|
||||||
|
const nFinalForecast = finalStep.forecast_dates.length;
|
||||||
|
const totalPoints = nActual + nFinalForecast;
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// Historical data (with nulls for forecast period)
|
// Dataset 0: All observed (always full)
|
||||||
const historicalData = [...step.historical_values, ...Array(step.forecast_dates.length).fill(null)];
|
chart.data.datasets[0].data = actual.values.map((v, i) => ({x: actual.dates[i], y: v}));
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// Forecast data (with nulls for historical period)
|
// Dataset 1: Final forecast reference (always full)
|
||||||
const forecastData = [...Array(step.historical_dates.length).fill(null), ...step.point_forecast];
|
chart.data.datasets[1].data = [
|
||||||
|
...Array(nActual).fill(null),
|
||||||
|
...finalStep.point_forecast
|
||||||
|
];
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// Confidence intervals
|
// Dataset 2: Data used (historical only)
|
||||||
const q90Lower = [...Array(step.historical_dates.length).fill(null), ...step.q10];
|
const dataUsed = [];
|
||||||
const q90Upper = [...Array(step.historical_dates.length).fill(null), ...step.q90];
|
for (let i = 0; i < totalPoints; i++) {
|
||||||
const q80Lower = [...Array(step.historical_dates.length).fill(null), ...step.q20];
|
if (i < nHist) {
|
||||||
const q80Upper = [...Array(step.historical_dates.length).fill(null), ...step.q80];
|
dataUsed.push(step.historical_values[i]);
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// Actual future data (if available)
|
|
||||||
const actualFuture = [];
|
|
||||||
for (let i = 0; i < allDates.length; i++) {
|
|
||||||
const dateIdx = actual.dates.indexOf(allDates[i]);
|
|
||||||
if (dateIdx >= step.n_points) {
|
|
||||||
actualFuture.push(actual.values[dateIdx]);
|
|
||||||
} else {
|
} else {
|
||||||
actualFuture.push(null);
|
dataUsed.push(null);
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
chart.data.datasets[2].data = dataUsed;
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
// Datasets 3-6: CIs (forecast only)
|
||||||
|
const forecastOffset = nActual;
|
||||||
|
const q90Lower = [];
|
||||||
|
const q90Upper = [];
|
||||||
|
const q80Lower = [];
|
||||||
|
const q80Upper = [];
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
for (let i = 0; i < totalPoints; i++) {
|
||||||
|
const forecastIdx = i - forecastOffset;
|
||||||
|
if (forecastIdx >= 0 && forecastIdx < nForecast) {
|
||||||
|
q90Lower.push(step.q10[forecastIdx]);
|
||||||
|
q90Upper.push(step.q90[forecastIdx]);
|
||||||
|
q80Lower.push(step.q20[forecastIdx]);
|
||||||
|
q80Upper.push(step.q80[forecastIdx]);
|
||||||
|
} else {
|
||||||
|
q90Lower.push(null);
|
||||||
|
q90Upper.push(null);
|
||||||
|
q80Lower.push(null);
|
||||||
|
q80Upper.push(null);
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
chart.data.datasets[3].data = q90Lower;
|
||||||
|
chart.data.datasets[4].data = q90Upper;
|
||||||
|
chart.data.datasets[5].data = q80Lower;
|
||||||
|
chart.data.datasets[6].data = q80Upper;
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
// Dataset 7: Forecast line
|
||||||
|
const forecastData = [];
|
||||||
|
for (let i = 0; i < totalPoints; i++) {
|
||||||
|
const forecastIdx = i - forecastOffset;
|
||||||
|
if (forecastIdx >= 0 && forecastIdx < nForecast) {
|
||||||
|
forecastData.push(step.point_forecast[forecastIdx]);
|
||||||
|
} else {
|
||||||
|
forecastData.push(null);
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
chart.data.datasets[7].data = forecastData;
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// Update chart data
|
|
||||||
chart.data.labels = allDates;
|
|
||||||
chart.data.datasets[0].data = historicalData;
|
|
||||||
chart.data.datasets[1].data = forecastData;
|
|
||||||
chart.data.datasets[2].data = q90Lower;
|
|
||||||
chart.data.datasets[3].data = q90Upper;
|
|
||||||
chart.data.datasets[4].data = q80Lower;
|
|
||||||
chart.data.datasets[5].data = q80Upper;
|
|
||||||
chart.data.datasets[6].data = actualFuture;
|
|
||||||
chart.update('none');
|
chart.update('none');
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// Update UI
|
// Update UI
|
||||||
document.getElementById('slider').value = stepIndex;
|
document.getElementById('slider').value = stepIndex;
|
||||||
document.getElementById('points-value').textContent = `${step.n_points} / 36`;
|
document.getElementById('points-value').textContent = `${step.n_points} / 36`;
|
||||||
document.getElementById('date-end').textContent = `${step.last_historical_date} → Forecast to ${step.forecast_dates[step.forecast_dates.length - 1]}`;
|
document.getElementById('date-end').textContent = `Using data through ${step.last_historical_date}`;
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// Update stats
|
// Stats
|
||||||
const mean = (step.point_forecast.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0) / step.point_forecast.length).toFixed(3);
|
const mean = (step.point_forecast.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0) / step.point_forecast.length).toFixed(3);
|
||||||
|
const finalMean = (finalStep.point_forecast.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0) / finalStep.point_forecast.length).toFixed(3);
|
||||||
|
const diff = (mean - finalMean).toFixed(3);
|
||||||
const max = Math.max(...step.point_forecast).toFixed(3);
|
const max = Math.max(...step.point_forecast).toFixed(3);
|
||||||
const min = Math.min(...step.point_forecast).toFixed(3);
|
const min = Math.min(...step.point_forecast).toFixed(3);
|
||||||
const ciWidth = ((step.q80[0] - step.q20[0]).toFixed(3));
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
document.getElementById('stat-mean').textContent = mean + '°C';
|
document.getElementById('stat-mean').textContent = mean + '°C';
|
||||||
|
document.getElementById('stat-diff').textContent = (diff >= 0 ? '+' : '') + diff + '°C';
|
||||||
document.getElementById('stat-max').textContent = max + '°C';
|
document.getElementById('stat-max').textContent = max + '°C';
|
||||||
document.getElementById('stat-min').textContent = min + '°C';
|
document.getElementById('stat-min').textContent = min + '°C';
|
||||||
document.getElementById('stat-ci').textContent = '±' + (ciWidth / 2).toFixed(2) + '°C';
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
currentStep = stepIndex;
|
currentStep = stepIndex;
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// Slider control
|
document.getElementById('slider').addEventListener('input', e => {
|
||||||
document.getElementById('slider').addEventListener('input', (e) => {
|
|
||||||
updateChart(parseInt(e.target.value));
|
updateChart(parseInt(e.target.value));
|
||||||
});
|
});
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// Play button
|
|
||||||
document.getElementById('play-btn').addEventListener('click', () => {
|
document.getElementById('play-btn').addEventListener('click', () => {
|
||||||
const btn = document.getElementById('play-btn');
|
const btn = document.getElementById('play-btn');
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
if (isPlaying) {
|
if (isPlaying) {
|
||||||
clearInterval(playInterval);
|
clearInterval(playInterval);
|
||||||
btn.textContent = '▶ Play';
|
btn.textContent = '▶ Play';
|
||||||
@@ -537,11 +481,7 @@
|
|||||||
} else {
|
} else {
|
||||||
btn.textContent = '⏸ Pause';
|
btn.textContent = '⏸ Pause';
|
||||||
isPlaying = true;
|
isPlaying = true;
|
||||||
|
if (currentStep >= animationData.animation_steps.length - 1) currentStep = 0;
|
||||||
if (currentStep >= animationData.animation_steps.length - 1) {
|
|
||||||
currentStep = 0;
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
playInterval = setInterval(() => {
|
playInterval = setInterval(() => {
|
||||||
if (currentStep >= animationData.animation_steps.length - 1) {
|
if (currentStep >= animationData.animation_steps.length - 1) {
|
||||||
clearInterval(playInterval);
|
clearInterval(playInterval);
|
||||||
@@ -551,11 +491,10 @@
|
|||||||
currentStep++;
|
currentStep++;
|
||||||
updateChart(currentStep);
|
updateChart(currentStep);
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
}, 500);
|
}, 400);
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
});
|
});
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// Reset button
|
|
||||||
document.getElementById('reset-btn').addEventListener('click', () => {
|
document.getElementById('reset-btn').addEventListener('click', () => {
|
||||||
if (isPlaying) {
|
if (isPlaying) {
|
||||||
clearInterval(playInterval);
|
clearInterval(playInterval);
|
||||||
|
|||||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user