Commit Graph

5 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Clayton Young
df58339850 feat(timesfm): complete all three examples with quality docs
- anomaly-detection: full two-phase rewrite (context Z-score + forecast PI),
  2-panel viz, Sep 2023 correctly flagged CRITICAL (z=+3.03)
- covariates-forecasting: v3 rewrite with variable-shadowing bug fixed,
  2x2 shared-axis viz showing actionable covariate decomposition,
  108-row CSV with distinct per-store price arrays
- global-temperature: output/ subfolder reorganization (all 6 output files
  moved, 5 scripts + shell script paths updated)
- SKILL.md: added Examples table, Quality Checklist, Common Mistakes (8 items),
  Validation & Verification with regression assertions
- .gitattributes already at repo root covering all binary types
2026-02-23 07:43:04 -05:00
Clayton Young
0d98fa353c feat(examples): add anomaly detection and covariates examples
Anomaly Detection Example:
- Uses quantile forecasts as prediction intervals
- Flags values outside 80%/90% CI as warnings/critical anomalies
- Includes visualization with deviation plot

Covariates (XReg) Example:
- Demonstrates forecast_with_covariates() API
- Shows dynamic numerical/categorical covariates
- Shows static categorical covariates
- Includes synthetic retail sales data with price, promotion, holiday

SKILL.md Updates:
- Added anomaly detection section with code example
- Expanded covariates section with covariate types table
- Added XReg modes explanation
- Updated 'When not to use' section to note anomaly detection workaround
2026-02-23 07:43:04 -05:00
Clayton Young
dcde063723 chore: remove markdown-mermaid-writing skill from this branch
This branch was originally created from feat/markdown-mermaid-writing-skill
for development purposes, but the timesfm-forecasting skill should be
independent of PR #50.

- Remove scientific-skills/markdown-mermaid-writing/ directory
- Remove reference to markdown-mermaid-writing from SKILL.md integration section
- This PR now stands alone and does not require PR #50 to be merged first
2026-02-23 07:43:04 -05:00
Clayton Young
88300014e2 docs(skill): add note that model weights are not stored in repo
Model weights (~800 MB) download on-demand from HuggingFace when skill
is first used. Preflight checker ensures sufficient resources before
any download begins.
2026-02-23 07:43:04 -05:00
Clayton Young
98670bcf47 feat(skill): add timesfm-forecasting skill for time series forecasting
Add comprehensive TimesFM forecasting skill with mandatory system
preflight checks (RAM/GPU/disk), end-to-end CSV forecasting script,
full API reference, data preparation guide, and hardware requirements
documentation. Supports TimesFM 2.5 (200M), 2.0 (500M), and legacy
v1.0 with automatic batch size recommendations based on hardware.
2026-02-23 07:43:04 -05:00